We introduce an analytical framework to quantify the changes in a machine learning algorithm's output distribution following the inclusion of a few data points in its training set, a notion we define as leave-one-out distinguishability (LOOD). This is key to measuring data memorization and information leakage as well as the influence of training data points in machine learning. We illustrate how our method broadens and refines existing empirical measures of memorization and privacy risks associated with training data. We use Gaussian processes to model the randomness of machine learning algorithms, and validate LOOD with extensive empirical analysis of leakage using membership inference attacks. Our analytical framework enables us to investigate the causes of leakage and where the leakage is high. For example, we analyze the influence of activation functions, on data memorization. Additionally, our method allows us to identify queries that disclose the most information about the training data in the leave-one-out setting. We illustrate how optimal queries can be used for accurate reconstruction of training data.