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Poster

Root Cause Analysis of Anomalies in Multivariate Time Series through Granger Causal Discovery

Xiao Han · Saima Absar · Lu Zhang · Shuhan Yuan

Hall 3 + Hall 2B #43
[ ] [ Project Page ]
Fri 25 Apr 7 p.m. PDT — 9:30 p.m. PDT
 
Oral presentation: Oral Session 6F
Sat 26 Apr 12:30 a.m. PDT — 2 a.m. PDT

Abstract:

Identifying the root causes of anomalies in multivariate time series is challenging due to the complex dependencies among the series. In this paper, we propose a comprehensive approach called AERCA that inherently integrates Granger causal discovery with root cause analysis. By defining anomalies as interventions on the exogenous variables of time series, AERCA not only learns the Granger causality among time series but also explicitly models the distributions of exogenous variables under normal conditions. AERCA then identifies the root causes of anomalies by highlighting exogenous variables that significantly deviate from their normal states. Experiments on multiple synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that AERCA can accurately capture the causal relationships among time series and effectively identify the root causes of anomalies.

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